Ericsson Exec Examines 5G Timeline and Needs for Bandwidth
April 18, 2017
Satellite operators believe 5G will be a huge opportunity, but for wireless players the opportunity will undoubtedly be even bigger. Ericsson, a major player in the 5G arena, publishes a regular mobility report, which looks at the state of the market. Joakim Sorelius, head of 5G and Radio Access Network (RAN) architecture at Ericsson, told Via Satellite that even he found some of the findings of its latest research “quite astonishing.”
“Firstly, there will be more than half a billion 5G subscriptions by 2022. In only a few years, we expect 5G to take off quite quickly. Twenty-five percent of all subscriptions will be 5G in North America in 2022, representing the highest market penetration in the world. Then you will have Asia-Pacific, with 10 percent of all subscriptions taken out in 2022 expected to be 5G, and especially the northern part of Asia. The whole of Asia will see 10 percent penetration but in the north and northeast, it will be more in the range of the U.S. numbers. That is markets like South Korea, Japan and China,” he added.
When looking at development of broadband, Sorelius says 90 percent of subscriptions will be mobile broadband, which basically means that everyone who has a telephone will have a smartphone. He called this “a very strong foundation” for the wireless industry.
When looking at the Internet of Things (IoT) market, Ericsson believes there will be 29 billion connected devices by 2022, of which 18 billion will be related to IoT.
However, while the talk of 5G has been a constant in the satellite industry over the last year, the question is when things will actually rollout. In terms of the timeline, Sorelius said Ericsson sees these major deployments happening around the 2020 timeframe. “Standards here will be finalized by mid-2018 (June), and thus there will be some early markets before 2020. But if you talk about major global rollouts, it will be in the 2020 timeframe. The two main enablers are firstly, that the standards are ready, and secondly the ecosystem. Even though we believe there will be early chipsets and terminals available quite soon after the standards are finalized, it still takes some time for the broader ecosystem to develop for the global market for new technologies,” he said.