SAN JOSE, Calif. – May 27, 2015 – According to the 10thannual Cisco® Visual Networking Index™ (VNI) Forecast, annual Internet Protocol (IP) traffic will triple between 2014 and 2019, when it will reach a record 2 zettabytes. Factors expected to drive traffic growth include global increases in Internet users, personal devices and machine-to-machine (M2M) connections, faster broadband speeds, and the adoption of advanced video services. Collectively, these variables are expected to create a global IP traffic compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23 percent – the first global CAGR increase in consecutive VNI forecasts in nearly a decade (e.g., last year’s projected CAGR for 2013 – 2018 was 21 percent).
Key Global IP Traffic and Service Predictions
Cisco predicts that global IP traffic will reach 168 exabytes per month by 2019, up from 59.9 exabytes per month in 2014. In 2019, nearly as much traffic will traverse global IP networks than all prior “Internet years” combined (from 1984 to the end of 2013). Several elements will shape IP traffic in the coming years:
Regional & Country IP Traffic Projections
Global VNI Traffic Breakdowns by Application Type
Global IP Video Traffic
Global Internet Video Traffic
HD and Ultra HD (4K) Internet Video Traffic
Global Consumer VoD Traffic
Global Business IP Traffic
Global VNI Traffic Breakdowns by Access Type
Global Fixed/Wired Traffic
Global Fixed/Wi-Fi Traffic
Global Mobile Data Traffic
Cisco® VNI Forecast Implications for Service Providers
Cisco VNI Methodology
The Cisco VNI Global Forecast and Service Adoption study for 2014 to 2019 rely upon independent analyst forecasts and real-world mobile data usage studies. Upon this foundation are layered Cisco's own estimates for global IP traffic and service adoption. A detailed methodology description is included in the complete report. Over its 10-year history, Cisco VNI research has become a highly regarded measure of the Internet's growth. National governments, network regulators, academic researchers, telecommunications companies, technology experts and industry/business press and analysts rely on the annual study to help plan for the digital future.
“It took 32 years – from 1984 to 2016 – to generate the first zettabyte of IP traffic annually. However, as this year’s Visual Networking Index forecasts, it will take only three additional years to reach the next zettabyte milestone when there will be more than 2 zettabytes of IP Traffic annually by 2019. As consumers, businesses and societies alike head towards the Digital Era with the Internet of Everything gaining momentum, VNI is even more relevant now in its 10th year than it was in its first. For our customers and the industry ecosystem as whole, we look forward to continuing to report on these trends, the challenges they bring, and the immense opportunities ahead.”
Cisco VNI Global Traffic Forecast Update Webcast
Cisco invites press, analysts and bloggers to attend a webcast featuring Cisco executives reviewing the global impact of traffic growth for service providers, organizations and consumers. The pre-recorded webcast begins at 9:00 a.m. (PDT) today and can be accessed by registering at Cisco VNI Complete IP Traffic Forecast Update (2014-2019).
Additional Supporting Resources
Cisco also welcomes press, analysts, bloggers, service providers, regulators and other interested parties to use and reference our research with proper attribution, such as “Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index Global Traffic Forecast Update, 2014-2019.”
Cisco defines the following terms:
Cisco, Service Provider, Visual Networking Index, VNI, IP Traffic, Mobile Data, Video, Complete VNI Forecast, Doug Webster, Internet of Everything, IoE, M2M, Machine-to-Machine
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